Can Taiwan's Economic Miracle Persevere?
|
With
the advent of more and more big business, I have
to worry about the fate of Taiwan's banking industry,
which is supposed to finance the next phase of
Taiwan's economic expansion. Is Taiwan going to
learn from Korea and Japan's dilemma? Moody's
has already downgraded the rating of many Taiwanese
banks.
|
4) |
Government/Kuomingtang
Enterprises-They are a problem area as stated
before. Efforts are underway to privatize the
government-owned businesses, but so far they are
falling into the hands of other big businesses
or Kuomintang Part-owned enterprises, such as
CDC mentioned bfore, which was ranked as the second
largest only next to the Taiwan Bank. |
POLICY
- INDUCED PROBLEMS
Historically, the refugee
Chiang regime never had any intention of settling
down and develop the island's economy. Its whole purpose
was the daydream to retake the mainland someday. In
the '50s, 80% of the national budget was for the military,
which by the '60s still accounted for about 45%--leaving
very little for economic development at all. When
military spending was finally scaled back, money went
mostly to debt-service and social programs. The impact
of this policy was that economic development was sacrificed
and delayed. Subsequently, when the pendulum swung
the other way, so much had to be made up very little
attention was given to the environment and quality
of life issues. These are still big problems for Taiwan,
so this miracle didn't happen without its social cost.
Now in response to the
economic red lights mentioned before and to prevent
the situation from getting worse, the Taiwan government
undertook a vigorous but disputable series of support
measures worth over $28 billion or over 10% of GDP
to:
1) |
Support
stock prices-A $8.7 billion stabilization fun
was provided by large banks, insurance and pension
funds to support stock equity prices which otherwise
could be used to stimulate the economy or for
other more constructive purposes. Stock transaction
taxes were reduced to help big brokers and big
accounts at the expense of treasury coffers. The
ownership limit for foreign purchase of a single
stock was raised to 50%, encouraging speculative
hot monies to destabilize the market. |
2) |
Boost
economic activities-Banks were pressured to continue
to loan to troubled business as well as to lower
their loan rates in violation of basic sound bank
practices. |
Previous |4|5|6|7|8|9|10|11|12|13|14|Next
|