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The Formation of the Modern East Asian Economy

The Age of Commerce (1540-1680)-International Shipping and
Bullion Flows in East Asian Waters


     This week I want to talk to you about something not as abstract as money-that is, trade and war on the sea. Throughout Easter Asia the world of the sea has long been regarded as different from that of the land. The sea had no walls, no officials, no laws, and virtually no signs of civilization, that culture of the land and the state we consider East Asian. Instead it had beasts and boats, unpredictable weather, and strange currents. It led to places where people did exotic things like live in trees and drink milk. It tolerated an enormous human variety beyond the comprehension of the ordinary peasant and official and it bred mixed races and unloyal subjects. Chinese of the southeast coast may have become accustomed to trade within a few miles of shore, Japanese may have begun to think of their inland sea as a kind of lake, and the Koreans had an extended history of trade and war around their peninsula. But overall, the sea beyond the horizon remained dark, dangerous, and unruly. The people who lived off its fish and boats were likewise considered rough and dangerous, often not very different from smugglers and pirates. And in fact, they at times were, particularly when they confronted the arbitrary commands of a landed order indifferent to the ways of their own.

      This relationship between maritime trade and war then was not fixed. It had its own cycles which were quite distinct from the dynastic cycle. This week, to provide a human and commercial context to last week's analysis of currency, I want to explore a long cycle in this relationship, which I believe lasted in East Asian waters from the eighth to the seventeenth century. During this cycle of nine centuries, Chinese domination over the waters of East Asia persisted through imperial bans and pirate attacks. Its exports largely remained the manufactured good that had won it in fame in markets throughout East Asia and the world-coins, ceramics, silk, and metals. Yet, two significant breaks would occur, the first in the early Ming, when the fate of its maritime trade diverged from that of its maritime fleet, and the second during the mid-sixteenth century when the arrival of Japanese silver redirected its focus from southeast to northeast Asia for the next century.



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